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Mortgage

The Fed raised rates, and mortgages jumped to 6.95%: a quick read for buyers, owners and HELOC borrowers

Yesterday the Fed raised its benchmark rate, unanimously. Mortgage rates had already moved. Here's what it means for your payment, and the one group that will feel it fastest.

A couple outside a house for sale, checking a phone during an open house.
A couple outside a house for sale, checking a phone during an open house.

Thirty-year mortgage rates averaged 6.95% this week, up from 6.76% a week ago and 6.30% in April. On a median-priced home, that's about $137 a month more than in spring.

The market read

The Fed hiked. On September 16, the Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds rate by a quarter point, to 3.75% to 4.00%. The vote was 12 to 0. The statement said inflation remains elevated and that the move "will support a timelier return" to the 2% goal (Federal Reserve).

In July, three officials had already voted for a hike (our July read). This time the whole committee agreed.

Mortgage rates rose. Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed at 6.95% on September 17, up from 6.76% the prior week and 6.26% a year ago. The 15-year rose to 6.26% (Freddie Mac).

Long-term rates had already been climbing ahead of the meeting. The decision confirmed the direction.

Line chart of 30-year mortgage rates rising from 6.30% in April to 6.95% in September.
Line chart of 30-year mortgage rates rising from 6.30% in April to 6.95% in September.

The real cost

$398,000 home, 20% down, $318,400 30-year fixed loan, principal and interest:

Week Rate Monthly payment
Mid-April 6.30% $1,971
Late July 6.66% $2,046
This week 6.95% $2,108

From spring to now, that's $137 a month, about $1,642 a year. If you were pre-approved in the spring, your budget has quietly shrunk.

Claire's rule of thumb: when rates rise, re-run your pre-approval at today's rate before you make an offer. The house you could afford in April may not be the house you can afford in September.

Who feels it first

  • HELOC borrowers. Home equity lines usually carry variable rates tied to short-term benchmarks, so a Fed hike typically shows up in your rate within a billing cycle or two. Check your HELOC's terms for how and when it adjusts.
  • Adjustable-rate mortgages nearing a reset will price off higher rates.
  • Fixed-rate homeowners aren't affected at all. Your payment doesn't change.
  • Buyers feel it through the 30-year rate, which, as this week shows, often moves before the Fed does.

Your next move

  1. Buyers under contract: lock your rate if you haven't, and get the lock length and any extension fees in writing.
  2. Buyers still shopping: get updated Loan Estimates from at least three lenders on the same day and compare APR and closing costs with the CFPB's Owning a Home tools.
  3. HELOC borrowers: find your margin and index in your agreement and estimate your new payment. If you're carrying a large balance, consider paying it down or asking about a fixed-rate option.
  4. Refinancers: with rates up, a refinance only makes sense if your current rate is far higher than today's. Run the breakeven math (closing costs ÷ monthly savings) first.

Sources

Rates and terms change daily and depend on your credit, down payment and lender. This article is for general information, not individual advice; consult a licensed mortgage professional.

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